Hays, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Hays KS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Hays KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Dodge City, KS |
Updated: 3:31 am CDT Jun 6, 2025 |
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Overnight
 Scattered T-storms
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Friday
 Decreasing Clouds
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Friday Night
 Scattered T-storms then Showers
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Saturday
 Slight Chance T-storms then Slight Chance Showers
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Saturday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Sunday
 Sunny then Slight Chance Showers
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Sunday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny
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Monday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Lo 58 °F |
Hi 74 °F |
Lo 57 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 55 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Overnight
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. North northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Friday
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Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 5am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 57. East northeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a slight chance of showers between 8am and 1pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 84. West northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 59. West wind around 6 mph becoming south in the evening. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 80. |
Sunday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 51. |
Tuesday
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Sunny, with a high near 85. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 58. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. |
Wednesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. |
Thursday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Hays KS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
176
FXUS63 KDDC 060808
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
308 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Thunderstorms will move out of Colorado around 6 or 7 pm,
expanding east with time. An Enhanced Risk area after 7 pm
extends from the Colorado line to Garden City and Liberal,
where hail in excess of 2 inches (15-30% coverage) in diameter
and Tornadoes (up to 5% coverage) are possible.
- Additional rainfall of 2 to 3 inches is expected between 7 pm
and midnight in the southwestern most counties, leading to
scattered to even numerous instances flash flooding This
Evening.
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 301 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Plenty of similarities exist in the mesoscale environment going
into late this afternoon and Tonight as compared with the large
hail and heavy excessive rain producing thunderstorms of
Thursday night. As a cool stable stratus layers begins to erode
and allow for afternoon destabilization, the CAPE and 0-3km
shear fields quickly evolve to once again support, fairly quick
moving northwest flow supercells along the KS/CO line by about
the 00 UTC timeframe. CONUSPROBV3 2-5 km prob updraft helicities
again target the southwest Kansas counties with intense
rotating updrafts between 00 and 05 z (7 pm and midnight). CAPE
looks weaker overall with more weight on the shear values. Those
southwest counties only show about a 20 to 50% chance for
MLCAPE values getting above 1000 J/KG, and virtually no chance
of 2000 j/KG. Nevertheless, a few counties including the
communities of Johnson, Elkhart Hugoton and Liberal are covered
in the hatched area for 2+ inch diameter hail Friday afternoon
and evening.
The last 24 hours are a great example of where uncertainty on
forecast becomes the biggest factor, as heaviest rains from
several rounds of thunderstorms few to the west of our watched
area in the southern 2 tiers of Kansas counties. Now, a higher
degree of confidence is lent to a new flood watch for excessive
rainfall for Tonight, across the southwest 4 counties as the
antecedent conditions will send all convective rain straight
into runoff and all but certain to wipe out most of the the
abnormally dry area on the US drought Monitor south of the Ark
River. Look for scattered to numerous instances of flash
flooding across these areas with inundated county roads and
water out of the banks of streams and tributaries. At this time
the latest 6-hr QPF ensemble prob matched means from HREF target
areas southwest of a Garden City to Ashland line with scattered
2 to 3 inches.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1135 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
Aviation impacts include widespread stratus as the trailing
stratiform convection leaves a cool boundary layer behind, with
light north winds through the morning. Plenty of moisture from
last nights rains may also lead to shallow fog development,
despite the cloud cover, in fact as of 04z, DDC only has a 1
degree dew point depression. Convection is reintroduced into
the terminals after 00z for LBL and GCK.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ061>063-074>078-
080-081-084>090.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Russell
AVIATION...Russell
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